Our market commentary highlights our current views and analysis of global stock, bond, and commodity markets.
Stocks, bonds, and precious metals rallied during the third quarter with the S&P 500 up 5.25% and the Bloomberg US Barclay’s Aggregate Bond Index up 5.81% (YCharts). Stock market gains were broadly based across sectors and industries, in contrast to the first half of the year, when profits were narrowly concentrated among AI stocks and […]
Q4 Market Commentary – A Strong Summer Pointing to a Strong Fall Read More »
Following a relatively quiet June and a big stock rally during the first half of July, the last two weeks brought with them a return of normal stock market volatility. Sparking the most recent wave of selling, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ August payrolls report missed expectations, with the economy only adding 114,000 jobs versus
Stock Market Update: Goodbye July, Hello (Normal) Market Volatility Read More »
Stock performance year-to-date has been a mixed bag with the vast majority of gains concentrated in mega-cap, domestic technology companies.. For example, the median year-to-date return for the largest 10 companies (using only the A-share class of Alphabet’s stock) in the S&P 500 is 30.4% as of July 1st. The median year-to-date return of the other 490 companies in the S&P 500 Index is a just 2.9%
Stocks continued their ascent to new highs into the new year, led by names at the forefront of artificial intelligence (AI) such as Meta, NVIDIA, Amazon, AMD, and Super Micro Computer. International stocks also edged higher, with the MSCI Europe, Asia, and Far East (EAFE) Index climbing 5.8% through the first quarter (MSCI) while bonds
Q2 Commentary – S&P 500 Concentration, Stock Picking, and Global Portfolio Management Read More »
2023 started with a bang. On the heels of a 4.25% increase in the federal funds rate in 2022, regional banks were hurting, leading to the failures of Silicon Valley, Signature, and First Republic. Congress got comparatively little done in 2023, with the biggest laws passed including one to temporarily suspend the federal debt limit
2024 Economic & Market Outlook: Congress Passes the Baton to the Fed as Inflation Eases Read More »