Q4 Economic Commentary: Lowering Expectations For 2023
We expect the Federal Reserve to continue battling inflation into 2023, potentially triggering an uptick in unemployment and downtick in economic growth.
Investment Strategy
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Straight Talk on Recession Risk – What We’re Seeing & Doing
In May we indicated we were not yet seeing signs of an economic recession developing. Six weeks later, the risk of an economic contraction is increasing.
Updates on the Economy, Stocks, Inflation, and Interest Rates
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, is currently down for its 8th week in a row, falling close to 20% year-to-date. The main reason for the decline is that investors are nervous about whether the economy is heading into a recession. Specifically, they are worried that the Federal Reserve, in its fight …
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April 2022 Economic Commentary: Geopolitical Conflict & Higher Interest Rates Galore
Those hoping the world would return to relative normalcy following the omicron variant’s peak in January were left disappointed, as Russia invaded Ukraine in February. In addition to stirring geopolitical tensions, the invasion strained global oil supplies, which added to the existing forces causing the highest inflation in forty years. Source: St. Louis Federal Reserve …
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Technical Stock Market Commentary – 1/31/2022
Once in a while one of my colleagues asks me to write a more technical market commentary for them. I created one last week discussing the recent market drawdown through January and what I expect to happen next. Enjoy! _________ On the heels of an already turbulent January for stocks, many were looking to the …